International Grain, Seed and Fertiliser Merchant

Monday 27 November 2017

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Daily Grain Comments

  • US markets – soy lower on weakness in other grains & talk of good SAm weather. Corn lower despite talk of additional Chinese purchases of US supplies. Wheat lower (traded at new contract low) on lower than expected US weekly sales & burdensome global supply.
  • Brazil farmers are expected to collect 111mln t of soybean in the 2017-18 season, reported consultancy firm Agroconsult, based on a 3% rise in planted area to a record 35mln ha.
  • Argentine farmers are expected to harvest 18mln t of wheat in the 2017-18 crop year, the Ag Ministry said in the government’s first wheat crop estimate of the season.
  • China’s corn imports in October were up y/y, but down 72% from the 250,000t imported last month. YTD imports (Jan-Oct) reported at 2.35mln t, down 21.5% from a year earlier, as domestic supplies become much cheaper following a  revamp in farm policy.
  • Ukraine has exported a total of 15.9mln t of grain so far this season, down from 16.7mln t in the same period last year. Exports include 9.5mln t wheat and around 2.7mln t of maize, with the ministry projecting exports could reach 44-45mln t this season.
  • French famers finished harvesting this year’s maize crop a/o Nov 20th. Soft wheat sowings were 98% complete compared with 95% the previous week, with 96% of the emerging crop reported in good/excellent condition.
  • IGC raised its global forecast for maize production by 6mln t to 1.04bln tonnes, raising ending stocks by 3mln t to 206mln t. Wheat production seen 1mln t higher at 749mln t, with ending stocks left unchanged at 249mln t.

Last Trade Settlement:

London May ’18 Settle £142.75/t – down £1.25/t from previous close

Paris Dec ’17 Settle €157.75 – down €0.50/t from previous close

CBOT Dec ’17 Corn Settle $3.4225/bushel – down 3.00 cents/bushel from previous close

CBOT Dec ’17 Wheat Settle $4.1575/bushel – down 7.00 cents/bushel from previous close

Currency Today

GBP EUR    1.1185

GBP USD    1.3350

EUR GBP    0.8935

EUR USD    1.1930

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