International Grain, Seed and Fertiliser Merchant

Daily Grain Comments

Friday 24 March 2017

  • US markets – soy lower (lowest close since Oct 14th) on continued long liquidation.  Corn lower despite large export sales.  Wheat follows lower despite large export sales with US drought concerns limiting losses.
  • Rabobank estimates US soybean acreage at 86.4mln acres (USDA outlook at 88mln) and corn acreage at 91.5mln acres (USDA outlook at 90mln).
  • BAGE (BA Grain Exchange) raised their production for the Argentine soybean crop to 56.5mln t, up 1.7mln t from their previous estimate.
  • BAGE left their Argentine corn production estimates unchanged at 37mln t, but did comment that this could be increased as yields so far have been above average – estimated corn harvest 8% complete.
  • IKAR (Russian Institute for Agricultural Market Studies) cut their Russian wheat export estimate to 27.5mln t, down from 28mln t previously, mainly due to the recent conflict with Turkey (USDA currently at 28.5mln t).
  • New wires have Russian 2017 wheat crop at 62.5mln t vs 73.3mln t a year ago, grain crop 109.5mln t vs 112.5mln t a year ago.

Last Trade Settle:

London May ’17 Settle £146.50/t – down £1.65/t from previous close

Paris May ’17 Settle €167.25 – down €1.25/t from previous close

CBOT May ’17 Corn Settle $3.5675/bushel – down 2.00 cents/bushel from previous close

CBOT May ’17 Wheat Settle $4.2100/bushel – down 1.25 cents/bushel from previous close

Currency Today:

GBP EUR    1.1565

GBP USD    1.2495

EUR GBP    0.8645

EUR USD    1.0800

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Gainsborough, Lincolnshire DN21 5TH.

Company Number: 534118