International Grain, Seed and Fertiliser Merchant

Daily Grain Comments

Thursday 21 September 2017

  • US market – soy rallied c. 5 c/bu yesterday on the backing of a weaker USD and reports of firm Chinese buying of US product.  Corn also saw an uptick on the day, albeit limited, while wheat saw further buying following bigger numbers paid in the GASC tender.  All US grains/seeds closed marginally up on the day.
  • Coceral marginally increased their 17/18 forecast for EU soft wheat production by 0.1m mt to 142.1m mt (last yr 135.5m mt), however lowered their EU corn forecast by 0.7m mt to 59.3m mt (last yr 60.8m mt).  EU barley up 0.9m mt @ 58.1m mt (last yr 59.7m mt), and EU OSR up 0.6m mt @ 22.1m mt (last yr @ 20.5m mt).
  • Matif wheat traded higher yesterday on a mix of GASC tender price hike news and a weaker euro, and has traded up a further €1.00/t in trade this morning.
  • £ continues to move firmer this morning having seen a pullback in trading from yesterday morning’s highs before moving higher again.
  • GB Public Sector net borrowing Aug17 reported at -£5.9bn this morning vs forecasts of -£6.7bn.  Tomorrow @ 0830 GMT brings German Manufacturing PMI, expecting a slight increase in expansion following Augusts slight reduction.
  • LIFFE firmed £0.95/mt yesterday on follow through from a general firmness in Ag commodities, despite the firm £.  Wet weather is slowing English bean harvest currently with estimates of c.70% still to harvest in the north of the UK, while anecdotal evidence suggests a steady wheat harvest in Scotland is causing spot supply issues.

Last Trade Settlement:

London Nov ’17 Settle £140.85/t – up £0.95/t from previous close

Paris Dec ’17 Settle €163.00/t – up €1.00/t from previous close

CBOT Dec ’17 Corn Settle $3.5000/bushel – up 2 cents/bushel from previous close

CBOT Dec ’17 Wheat Settle $4.4975/bushel – up 8.5 cents/bushel from previous close

Currency Today:

GBP EUR    1.1336

GBP USD    1.3505

EUR GBP    0.8816

EUR USD    1.1910

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Lindsey House, Hemswell Cliff,
Gainsborough, Lincolnshire DN21 5TH.

Company Number: 534118